Russia’s calculations when putting troops close to Ukraine

Russia's calculations when putting troops close to Ukraine 3

Russia’s calculations when putting troops close to Ukraine

For President Vladimir Putin, Ukraine’s warm relationship with the US and Europe is a challenge to Russia’s influence in the region, especially after President Joe Biden announced that Washington would take a tougher stance than before.

The Russian military has recently made a number of moves that are considered `long-term vigilance` steps, including moving troops and equipment to a new base near the city of Voronezh, about 155 miles from the Ukrainian border.

`Russia is challenging the will of all parties and declaring its stance that it is still an important party to other countries, including the US and Ukraine,` said Ruslan Leviev, an expert at CIT.

Russia’s calculations when sending large numbers of troops close to Ukraine

The train carrying Russia’s main tank T-72 stopped at a station in Kamyshin city on April 1.

Leviev said Russia began mobilizing forces near the Ukrainian border about a month ago.

The Russian Ministry of Defense announced that 10 naval ships, including landing ships and gunboats, had moved from the Caspian Sea to the Black Sea for `exercises`, but did not announce a detailed time.

CIT collected about 150 videos, mainly from TikTok, showing the scale of the Russian military’s force transfer.

Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov stated that Russia `moves troops within its territory according to our own decision, this does not concern anyone`.

Serhii Deineko, commander of the Ukrainian Border Guard, said at least 85,000 Russian soldiers are present in the area 9-40 km from the Ukrainian border and the Crimean peninsula.

White House press secretary Jen Psaki said on April 8 that the number of Russian soldiers present on the western border with Ukraine is the largest since 2014. US State Department spokesman Ned Price said `

A senior US official said Russia’s troop deployment could set back cooperation efforts in areas of mutual interest, including negotiations to reverse the former president’s decision to withdraw from the Open Skies treaty.

In a phone call on April 2, President Joe Biden pledged to his Ukrainian counterpart Volodymyr Zelensky that the US `firmly supports Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity in the face of Russia’s continued aggression.`

Russia's calculations when putting troops close to Ukraine

Donbas region and Crimea peninsula.

The US has provided $4.5 billion in military aid to Ukraine since 2014, including two batches of Javelin anti-tank missiles.

Ukraine and the US keep secret the location of Javelin anti-tank missiles.

Fighting in the Donbas region, eastern Ukraine, cooled down significantly after a ceasefire in mid-2020. However, clashes have continued to flare up in recent months, killing more than 20 Ukrainian soldiers since the beginning of 2021.

`Zelensky and his assistants are really worried about the risk of an attack,` said Alyona Getmanchuk, head of the new European Center based in Kiev.

In a phone call with NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg on April 6, Zelensky expressed his desire to join this organization and affirmed that this is `the only way to end the war` with pro-Russian militias in the region.

However, Moscow issued a quite clear warning.

At the end of January, RT Channel Editor-in-Chief Margarita Simonyan spoke at the Donbas Russia Forum in Donetsk, an area in eastern Ukraine controlled by militias, calling on Moscow to `take a more proactive stance` towards the country.

`The people of Donbas want the opportunity to become Russians. We must give them that opportunity. The people of Donbas want to return home, to become part of our great and generous motherland. We must give them

Russia's calculations when putting troops close to Ukraine

Ukrainian tanks and soldiers near an area controlled by pro-Russian militias in the Donbas region on April 7.

When asked whether Simonyan’s statement was a sign that Russia would attack Ukraine, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov affirmed that RT Editor-in-Chief `is not a spokesman for the Russian Federation, the issue is

Tensions between Ukraine and Russia have spiked in recent months, as Zelensky instituted pro-Western reforms.

Maxim Samorukov, an expert at the Carnegie Moscow Center, commented that Russia was `thoroughly prepared militarily` in the context of Zelensky using the `anti-Russian card`.

In a phone call with German Chancellor Angela Merkel on April 8, Putin said `he noted Kiev’s provocative actions and deliberate exaggeration of the situation along the border line in the war zone in eastern Ukraine.`

An adviser to Zelensky said `the Ukrainian side finds it difficult to understand Russia’s troop deployment.`

The transfer of Russian forces near the border with Ukraine is considered a test for European countries, especially Germany, a country that is being criticized by the US for its plan to build a pipeline to import gas from Russia.

A European diplomatic official said Russia is `threatening and putting pressure` on Ukraine.

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